Should You Buy Bitcoin Before the Fed's September Rate Cut?

Institutional Crypto Research Written by Experts

Author

Markus Thielen
July 12, 2024

👇1-13) Last week, we predicted a rally in Bitcoin leading up to the U.S. inflation announcement, expecting inflation to decline. Our pre-CPI report, however, cautioned that any post-CPI spike in Bitcoin would be short-lived, and indeed, Bitcoin surged briefly before selling off. This occurred despite the probability of a September rate cut exceeding 90%.

👇2-13) To succeed in financial markets, you must bet against consensus and be right. Most traders anticipated lower inflation this time, leading to a fleeting post-CPI rally. Another crucial trading concept is recognizing when conditions shift from awful to less bad (1) or from less good to awful (2). Significant gains can be made in the former scenario, while substantial losses occur in the latter.

👇3-13) Currently, selling pressure from the German government is easing, and Bitcoin appears technically oversold. ETFs are buying the dip, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates soon, providing the liquidity support many have anticipated.

Should you consider buying Bitcoin before the September rate cuts, assuming inflation will drop?

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